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KONJONKTÜR TEORİLERİ

"
Dictionary of Economics

KONJONKTÜR TEORİLERİ (Proper noun)

(Dictionary of Economics) :
Çeşitli iktisatçılar tarafından konjonktür dalgalanmalarının seyri ve nedenlerine ilişkin olarak öne sürülen görüşler. Bu teorileri iktisat dışı nedenlerle (egzojen) ve iktisadi nedenlere (Endojen) dayalı olmak üzere iki gruba ayırabilir. İktisat dışı nedenlerin başlıcaları konjonktür dalgalarının; güneşteki lekelerin periyodik değişimlerine, yağış hareketlerine (Jeuons Moore) ve gün gibi psikolojik faktörlere (Dalga halindeaşırı iyimserlik ve aşırı kötümserlik) bağlı olarak açıklanmasıdır. Endojen, yani içsel nedenlerin hangi iktisadi olaylarda aranması gerektiği iktisatçılar arasında yaygın olarak tartışılan konulardan biridir. Bunlardan başlıcaları şöyle sıralanabilir: a) Aşırı üretim ve eksik tüketimin konjonktür dalgalarına yol açtığını öne sürenler, b) Üretim sektörlerindeki oransız sermaye birikiminin konjonktüre neden olduğunu savunanlar, c) Konjonktürü para ve kredi olayları ile açıklayan teoriler.
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